Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Telia Parken

Russia
1 - 4
Denmark

Dzyuba (70' pen.)
Kudryashov (28'), Diveyev (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Damsgaard (38'), Poulsen (59'), Christensen (79'), Maehle (82')
Delaney (57')

Reaction

Kasper Hjulmand pictured on June 2, 2021

Kasper Hjulmand hails "amazing" team spirit as Denmark progress

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Jun 22, 07:50

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Russia had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Russia win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
Russia	Draw	Denmark
31.3%	22.64%	46.07%

Both teams to score 64.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.22%

35.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.14%

57.86%

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.19%

22.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.47%

56.53%

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96%

16.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.61%

45.39%

Score Analysis

Russia 31.3%

Denmark 46.07%

Draw 22.64%

Russia	Draw	Denmark
2-1 @ 7.31% 1-0 @ 5.41% 2-0 @ 4% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.3% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.3%	1-1 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 6.69% 0-0 @ 3.66% 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.64%	1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 6.13% 1-3 @ 5.53% 2-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 2.53% 2-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 0.93% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.07%