Euro 2020

European Championship | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2021 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Netherlands
2 - 0
Austria

Depay (11' pen.), Dumfries (67')
de Roon (14')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alaba (10'), Bachmann (67')

Reaction

Netherlands manager Frank de Boer pictured on June 6, 2021

Frank De Boer: 'We can beat any team at Euro 2020'

The Dutch will meet one of the best third-placed teams in Budapest in the last 16.

Jun 17, 23:00

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Austria had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Austria win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Austria
47.53%	21.53%	30.94%

Both teams to score 68.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.6%

30.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.33%

51.67%

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.5%

13.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.46%

40.54%

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62%

20.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2%

52.8%

Score Analysis

Netherlands 47.53%

Austria 30.94%

Draw 21.53%

Netherlands	Draw	Austria
2-1 @ 8.77% 3-1 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 5.52% 1-0 @ 5.51% 3-2 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 3.68% 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-3 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.53%	1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 6.98% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 2.47% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.53%	1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 3.48% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-4 @ 1.47% 3-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.94%