Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2020

North Macedonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route D
Oct 8, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Toše Proeski Arena
Kosovo national football team

N. Macedonia
2 - 1
Kosovo

Kololli (15' og.), Velkovski (33')
Bejtulai (14'), Nestorovski (37'), Ademi (38'), Alioski (56'), Ristovski (73'), Dimitrievski (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hadergjonaj (29')
Rashani (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path D playoff semi-final between North Macedonia and Kosovo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 20.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawKosovo
54.41%24.65%20.94%
Both teams to score 48.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8%53.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24%74.76%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51%19.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.64%51.36%
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.79%40.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16%76.84%
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 54.4%
    Kosovo 20.94%
    Draw 24.65%
North MacedoniaDrawKosovo
1-0 @ 12.81%
2-0 @ 10.47%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 5.2%
3-2 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 7.84%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.14%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.32%
0-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 20.94%