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UEFA Nations League

North Macedonia national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 5, 2020 at 2pm UK
Toše Proeski Arena
Armenia national football team

N. Macedonia
2 - 1
Armenia

Alioski (5' pen.), Nestorovski (38' pen.)
Musliu (58'), Alioski (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Barseghyan (90+4' pen.)
Haroyan (3'), Hambardzumyan (37'), Hovhannisyan (84')
Coverage of the Nations League League C clash between North Macedonia and Armenia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for an Armenia win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for North Macedonia in this match.

Result
North MacedoniaDrawArmenia
61.07%20.18%18.75%
Both teams to score 59.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.93%59.07%
North Macedonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.3%11.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.2%36.8%
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96%33.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37%69.62%
Score Analysis
    North Macedonia 61.07%
    Armenia 18.75%
    Draw 20.18%
North MacedoniaDrawArmenia
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 8.9%
1-0 @ 8.29%
3-1 @ 7.05%
3-0 @ 6.36%
3-2 @ 3.9%
4-1 @ 3.78%
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.62%
5-0 @ 1.47%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 61.07%
1-1 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 5.46%
0-0 @ 3.86%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.18%
1-2 @ 5.09%
0-1 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 18.75%