Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 22, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Allianz Stadion

Rapid Vienna
1 - 2
Arsenal

Fountas (51')
Grahovac (15'), Arase (61'), Kara (63'), Ritzmaier (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luiz (70'), Aubameyang (74')
Lacazette (27'), Partey (35'), Nketiah (38'), Leno (90+2')

Reaction

Bernd Leno pictured for Arsenal in October 2020

Arsenal's David Luiz defends Bernd Leno following midweek error

Bernd Leno's error saw the Gunners fall behind in their Europa League Group B opener.

Oct 23, 11:21

Arsenal's Thomas Partey in action against Rapid Vienna in the Europa League on October 22, 2020

Mikel Arteta lavishes praise on "fantastic" Thomas Partey

The recent signing from Atletico Madrid made his first Arsenal start in the Europa League win over Rapid Vienna.

Oct 22, 20:51

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match.

Result
Rapid Vienna	Draw	Arsenal
35.24%	24.25%	40.51%

Both teams to score 60.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72%

42.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31%

64.68%

Rapid Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.33%

23.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.22%

57.78%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Score Analysis

Rapid Vienna 35.24%

Arsenal 40.51%

Draw 24.24%

Rapid Vienna	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.05% 1-0 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 5.16% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.24%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.72% 0-1 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.51%