UEFA Conference League

Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 11, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Tose Proeski Arena

Tikves
3 - 2
Breidablik

Stojkovski (74'), Stojanov (80'), Guerra de Souza (83')
Mojsov (45+1'), Stojanov (58'), Vitao (76'), Spirkoski (77'), Menezes Bandeira Neto (83'), Stojkovski (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Karl Einarsson (13'), Kristinsson (31')
Karl Einarsson (33')

Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tikves and Breidablik.

Form, Standings, Stats

Breidablik

Last Game: Luhansk 4-0 Breidablik
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Tikves had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Tikves win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Tikves	Draw	Breidablik
13.91% ( -0.12)	18.23% ( -0.04)	67.85% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 54.85% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.83% (

-0.12)

37.17% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.63% (

-0.13)

59.37% (

0.12)

Tikves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.97% (

-0.25)

39.03% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.25% (

-0.23)

75.75% (

0.23)

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.96% (

10.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.89% (

0.01)

33.11% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Tikves 13.91%

Breidablik 67.85%

Draw 18.23%

Tikves	Draw	Breidablik
2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 13.91%	1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.23%	0-2 @ 10.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.56% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.97% 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 67.85%