Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Floriana had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Floriana win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Floriana	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
35.09% ( -0.08)	24.98% ( -0.04)	39.93% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.27% (

0.16)

45.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.95% (

0.15)

68.05% (

-0.15)

Floriana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.03)

25.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

0.04)

60.16% (

-0.04)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22% (

0.13)

22.78% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52% (

0.19)

56.48% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Floriana 35.09%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.93%

Draw 24.97%

Floriana	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.09%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.93%