Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Wisla Krakow had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wisla Krakow win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.