Conference League
Jul 22, 2026 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Türk Hava Yolları Futbol Mərkəzi IV meydança
  • Keiren Westwood 2' goal
  • Aleksandr Selyava 8' goal
  • Falaye Sacko 54' yellowcard
  • goal Karen Vardanyan 36'
  • goal Evgeniy Malashevich 47'
  • yellowcard Fawaz Abdullahi 45'+2'
  • goal Karen Vardanyan 57'
  • goal G. Alykulov 77'

Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Minsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi Baku

All competitions

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%).

Result

Neftchi Baku 38.76% (+0.04)
Draw 26.04%
Dinamo Minsk 35.21% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 48.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.52%
Under 3.5 72.48%
Over 4.5 15.56% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.44% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Neftchi Baku 26.11%
Draw 47.91%
Dinamo Minsk 25.98%

Team To Score First

Neftchi Baku 45.62% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.7%
Dinamo Minsk 46.68% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 30.7%
Equal 8 10.22%
Under 8 59.08%
Over 9 22.35%
Equal 9 8.35%
Under 9 69.3%
Over 10.5 16%
Under 10.5 84%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 1.5 37.54% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.46% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.69% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 84.31% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 5.19%
Under 3.5 94.81%

Dinamo Minsk Goals

Over 0.5 67.82% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 32.18% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.67% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.33% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.59%
Under 2.5 86.41%
Over 3.5 4.48%
Under 3.5 95.52%

Score analysis

Neftchi Baku 38.76%
Draw 26.03%
Dinamo Minsk 35.21%
Neftchi Baku
1-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.54% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 38.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.03%
Dinamo Minsk
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 35.21%