UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK

Neo GSP

APOEL
1 - 0
Kyzyl-Zhar

(APOEL win 1-0 on aggregate)

Efrem (27')
Efrem (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lobantsev (21'), Muzek (67')

Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between APOEL and Kyzyl-Zhar.

Form, Standings, Stats

APOEL

Last Game: APOEL 2-0 Botev Plovdiv
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Kyzyl-Zhar

Last Game: Osijek 0-2 Kyzyl-Zhar
Thursday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a APOEL win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Kyzyl-Zhar had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an APOEL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Kyzyl-Zhar win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that APOEL would win this match.

Result
APOEL	Draw	Kyzyl-Zhar
43.67% ( -0.08)	24.06% ( -0.01)	32.27% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 60.06% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.79% (

0.1)

42.21% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.39% (

0.1)

64.61% (

-0.09)

APOEL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

0.01)

19.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.55% (

0.01)

51.44% (

-0.01)

Kyzyl-Zhar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.1)

25.35% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

0.14)

60.14% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

APOEL 43.67%

Kyzyl-Zhar 32.27%

Draw 24.05%

APOEL	Draw	Kyzyl-Zhar
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.67%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.27%