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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 47.89%. A win for had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%).
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 27.37% | 24.74% | 47.89% |
| Both teams to score 54.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% | 47.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% | 70.03% |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% | 31.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.09% | 67.91% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.97% | 20.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.21% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.37% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 10.15% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 2.03% 0-4 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.89% |