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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%).
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 31.91% | 25.17% | 42.92% |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.62% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.89% | 28.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.22% | 63.78% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% | 22.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% | 55.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.91% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.92% |