Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 84.02%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Sandefjord had a probability of 5.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Sandefjord win it was 1-2 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.