Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 12
Oct 25, 2026 6.15pm
Aker Stadion

Molde vs Fredrikstad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 4.00pm
Molde 6 - 1 Start
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Emil Breivik

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 5.00pm
Viking FK 3 - 2 Fredrikstad
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Molde win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw has a probability of 19.6% and a win for Fredrikstad has a probability of 19.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.54%) , while for a Fredrikstad win it is 1-2 (5.09%).

Result

Molde 60.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 19.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Fredrikstad 19.58% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.64% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 14.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 67.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 32.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 45.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 54.44% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 30.91% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 69.09% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Molde 53.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 30.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Fredrikstad 15.7% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Molde 70.51% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 3.43%
Fredrikstad 26.06% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 25.55% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 9 53.69% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 35.57% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 43.05% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 56.95% ▼ (-0.13)

Molde Goals

Over 1.5 63.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 36.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 38.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 61.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 19.43% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 80.57% ▲ (+0.08)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5 56.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 43.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 10.28%
Under 2.5 89.72%
Over 3.5 3.41%
Under 3.5 96.59%

Score analysis

Molde 60.79%
Draw 19.59%
Fredrikstad 19.59%
Molde
2-1 @ 9.48%
2-0 @ 7.54%
1-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.07%
3-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 19.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 60.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.43%
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.59%
Fredrikstad
1-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 3.7%
0-2 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 19.59%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien
Jul 12, 2025 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 22
Sep 14, 2024 5.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT Aker Stadion
  • Kristoffer Haugen 15' goal
  • Martin Bjornbak 28' goal
  • Eirik Haugan 32' goal
  • Markus Andre Kaasa 52' goal
  • Ola Brynhildsen 57' goal
  • Martin Linnes 61' goal
  • goal Simen Rafn 1'
  • yellowcard Falu Fol 13'
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 14
Jul 13, 2024 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Mai Traore 49' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kristian Eriksen 81'
  • yellowcard Eirik Haugan 84'