Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 22
Sep 20, 2026 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Intility Arena
  • Sebastian Jarl 76' goal
  • goal Solomon Owusu 52'
  • redcard Isak Helstad Amundsen 82'
  • yellowcard Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem 88'

Valerenga Fotball vs Fredrikstad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Valerenga Fotball

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Lillestrom 2 - 0 Valerenga
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Lucas Haren

Fredrikstad

All competitions
Norwegian Eliteserien
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 6.15pm
Fredrikstad 1 - 1 Sarpsborg
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Oskar Öhlenschlaeger

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (8.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Valerenga Fotball 39.45% ▲ (+1.55)
Draw 24.17% ▼ (-0.20)
Fredrikstad 36.39% ▼ (-1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.34% ▼ (-0.82)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.33% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 15.67% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 64.44% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 35.56% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 3.5 42.91% ▼ (-0.94)
Under 3.5 57.09% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 4.5 26.51% ▼ (-0.87)
Under 4.5 73.49% ▲ (+0.87)

First Half Winner

Valerenga Fotball 31.79% ▲ (+0.83)
Draw 39.5% ▲ (+0.54)
Fredrikstad 28.72% ▼ (-1.36)

Team To Score First

Valerenga Fotball 51.49% ▲ (+1.08)
No Goal 3.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Fredrikstad 44.64% ▼ (-1.11)

Corners

Over 8 71.78% ▼ (-1.71)
Equal 8 9.35% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 8 18.87% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 9 61.1% ▼ (-1.86)
Equal 9 10.67% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 9 28.22% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 10.5 49.95% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 10.5 50.05% ▲ (+1.85)

Valerenga Fotball Goals

Over 1.5 47.04% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 52.96% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 2.5 22.8% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 77.2% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 9.02% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 3.5 90.98% ▼ (-0.22)

Fredrikstad Goals

Over 0.5 73.58% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 0.5 26.42% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 1.5 44.91% ▼ (-1.63)
Under 1.5 55.09% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 2.5 20.74% ▼ (-1.59)
Under 2.5 79.26% ▲ (+1.60)
Over 3.5 8.07% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 3.5 91.93% ▲ (+0.83)

Score analysis

Valerenga Fotball 39.46%
Draw 24.17%
Fredrikstad 36.4%
Valerenga Fotball
2-1 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.32)
1-0 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.25)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.31)
Total : 39.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.5% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 24.17%
Fredrikstad
1-2 @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.74)
Total : 36.4%

Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
Apr 12, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Johannes Núñez 46' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Norbye 52' yellowcard
  • Henrik Langaas Skogvold 71' yellowcard
  • Daniel Eid 79' goal
  • Eirik Julius Granaas 83' yellowcard
  • Sigurd Kvile 83' yellowcard
  • goal M. Grundetjern 25'
  • yellowcard Petter Strand 68'
  • yellowcard Fidel Brice Ambina 68'
  • yellowcard Fidel Brice Ambina 69'
  • yellowcard Filip Thorvaldsen 86'
  • yellowcard Ole Sæter 86'
  • yellowcard Ole Sæter 87'
Norwegian Eliteserien
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Norwegian Eliteserien Gameweek 17
Apr 9, 2025 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Nye Fredrikstad Stadion
  • Falu Fol 17' yellowcard
  • Falu Fol 39' goal
  • Maxwell Woledzi 72' yellowcard
  • Emil Holten 76' goal
  • yellowcard Henrik Bjordal 43'
  • yellowcard Mees Rijks 59'
  • yellowcard Magnus Riisnaes 90'+4'