Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Valerenga Fotball win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.