Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.