Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 14.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.