Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mohamed Hany 30' yellowcard
  • Yasser Ibrahim 30' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 45' goal
  • Mohamed Hany 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Teboho Mokoena 20'
  • yellowcard Lyle Foster 43'
  • yellowcard Khuliso Mudau 43'

Egypt vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 8.00pm
Egypt 2 - 1 Zimbabwe

South Africa

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 22, 2025 5.00pm
South Africa 2 - 1 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (10.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

Egypt 40.35% (+0.05)
Draw 28.08% (+0.01)
South Africa 31.57% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.88% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.92% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 59.08% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 20.47% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 79.53% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 8.61% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 91.39% (+0.02)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 71.33% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.67% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.51% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.49% (-0.01)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 65.72% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 34.28% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 29.02% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 70.98% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Egypt 40.34%
Draw 28.08%
South Africa 31.57%
Egypt
1-0 @ 12.27% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.67% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.14%
0-0 @ 9.83% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.08%
South Africa
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.57%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 6, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
  • Ayman Ashraf 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sifiso Hlanti 44'
  • yellowcard Bongani Zungu 79'
  • goal Thembinkosi Lorch 85'
  • yellowcard Thulani Hlatshwayo 94'

Build-up

Feature