Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Egypt
1 - 0
South Africa

Salah (45' pen.)
Hany (30'), Ibrahim (30'), Hany (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mokoena (20'), Foster (43'), Mudau (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Egypt and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 South Africa
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Angola vs. Egypt
Monday, December 29 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

South Africa

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 South Africa
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Zimbabwe vs. South Africa
Monday, December 29 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (10.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	South Africa
40.35% ( 0.04)	28.08% ( 0.01)	31.57% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.92% (

-0.04)

59.08% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.47% (

-0.03)

79.53% (

0.03)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.33% (

0.01)

28.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.51% (

0.01)

64.49% (

-0.01)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.05)

34.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.06)

70.98% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Egypt 40.34%

South Africa 31.57%

Draw 28.08%

Egypt	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.34%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.57%