Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (10.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.