Stevenage
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 22, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 1
Saints U21s

Dinanga (45+3'), Marsh (90+3')
Vincelot (36'), Vancooten (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Slattery (37')
Jankewitz (30'), Ramsey (74')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Stevenage and Southampton Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 11.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawSouthampton Under-21s
70.46%18.23%11.31%
Both teams to score 46.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.21%43.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.82%66.18%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.29%35.71%
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.54%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.17%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 70.44%
    Southampton Under-21s 11.31%
    Draw 18.23%
StevenageDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.73%
1-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-0 @ 5.09%
4-1 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.58%
5-0 @ 2.23%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 70.44%
1-1 @ 8.67%
0-0 @ 5.31%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.23%
0-1 @ 3.96%
1-2 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 11.31%

rhs 2.0


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