Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Shrewsbury Town and Newcastle United Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 58.79% | 21.43% | 19.77% |
| Both teams to score 56.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.83% | 41.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.44% | 63.56% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% | 40.93% |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% | 71.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town 58.79%
Newcastle United Under-21s 19.77%
Draw 21.43%
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6.59% 3-0 @ 6.19% 3-2 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 3.27% 4-0 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 1.74% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.79% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 5.32% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.77% |


