Crewe Alexandra
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 29, 2020 at 7pm UK
Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
1 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Pickering (66')
Lowery (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Crewe Alexandra and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 78.17%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 7.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 0-1 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
78.17%14.08%7.76%
Both teams to score 46.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.5%35.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44%57.56%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.68%7.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.55%26.45%
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.7%49.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.83%84.17%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 78.15%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 7.76%
    Draw 14.08%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 12.33%
3-0 @ 10.75%
1-0 @ 9.43%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 7.03%
4-1 @ 4.97%
5-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.69%
5-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.76%
6-0 @ 1.6%
6-1 @ 1.13%
5-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 78.15%
1-1 @ 6.67%
0-0 @ 3.61%
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 14.08%
0-1 @ 2.55%
1-2 @ 2.36%
0-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 7.76%