SBV Excelsior
5 - 1
Jong Ajax

Hillen (8' og.), Baas (20'), Niemeijer (24'), Mendes Moreira (82'), Zwarts (90+5')
Aberkane (80')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong Ajax.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.25%) and 2-3 (4.86%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong Ajax
36.49%	21.09%	42.42%

Both teams to score 72.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.89%

26.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.65%

46.35%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.26%

15.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.16%

44.84%

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.47%

13.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.4%

40.6%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 36.49%

Jong Ajax 42.42%

Draw 21.09%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Jong Ajax
2-1 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 4.49% 1-0 @ 3.94% 2-0 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 2.08% 4-3 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.84% Total : 36.49%	1-1 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 7.28% 3-3 @ 2.99% 0-0 @ 2.13% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.09%	1-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 5.25% 2-3 @ 4.86% 0-1 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 2.43% 3-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 1.05% 2-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.08% Total : 42.42%

SBV Excelsior5 - 1Jong Ajax

Data Analysis

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SBV Excelsior
5 - 1
Jong Ajax