Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.