Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
De Graafschap

MVV
1 - 3
De Graafschap

Blummel (23')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Konings (13'), Korte (26'), Opoku (78' pen.)
Verbeek (45+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
20.17%21.94%57.88%
Both teams to score 55.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.3%
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9%35.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15%71.84%
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45%14.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4%42.6%
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 20.17%
    De Graafschap 57.88%
    Draw 21.93%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDe Graafschap
2-1 @ 5.4%
1-0 @ 5.35%
2-0 @ 2.8%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.82%
3-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.17%
1-1 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 5.2%
0-0 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.93%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-1 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.49%
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-3 @ 6.1%
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 3.08%
0-4 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.61%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 57.88%