Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.