DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadion am Bruchweg
Greuther Furth

Schott Mainz
0 - 2
Greuther Furth


Bohl (30'), Schwarz (55'), Mairose (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Srbeny (8'), Mustapha (82')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Schott Mainz and Greuther Furth.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Schott Mainz 1-6 Dortmund
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Kaiserslautern 2-2 Greuther Furth
Friday, August 9 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Schott Mainz had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.03%), while for a Schott Mainz win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Greuther Furth in this match.

Result
Schott MainzDrawGreuther Furth
11.97% (0.291 0.29)15.84% (0.244 0.24)72.19% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.8% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)30.2% (0.445 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.57% (-0.528 -0.53)51.43% (0.536 0.54)
Schott Mainz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.78% (0.142 0.14)37.22% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.99% (0.141 0.14)74.01% (-0.133 -0.13)
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.69% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)7.31% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.57% (-0.542 -0.54)26.43% (0.55 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Schott Mainz 11.97%
    Greuther Furth 72.19%
    Draw 15.84%
Schott MainzDrawGreuther Furth
2-1 @ 3.48% (0.075 0.08)
1-0 @ 2.69% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.33% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.15% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 11.97%
1-1 @ 7.03% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.72% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.84%
0-2 @ 9.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 8.12% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.12% (0.101 0.1)
0-4 @ 5.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 5.25% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 2.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.21% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-6 @ 1.2% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.19%