Danish Superliga | Gameweek 18
Feb 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Nordjyske Arena

AaB
0 - 1
Aarhus

FT(HT: 0-0)
Anderson (65')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aalborg BK and Aarhus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aalborg BK

All competitions
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 5-1 AaB
Sunday, November 13 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Aarhus

All competitions
Last Game: Aarhus 0-2 Copenhagen
Sunday, November 13 at 1pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aalborg BK win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aalborg BK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Aalborg BKDrawAarhus
40.61% (-0.682 -0.68)26.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09)33.24% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (-0.222 -0.22)51.2% (0.225 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (-0.197 -0.2)73.04% (0.2 0.2)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.45 -0.45)24.86% (0.453 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.634 -0.63)59.46% (0.637 0.64)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.279 0.28)29.12% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.34 0.34)65.05% (-0.337 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Aalborg BK 40.61%
    Aarhus 33.24%
    Draw 26.14%
Aalborg BKDrawAarhus
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.24%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 4pm
Aarhus
3-1
AaB
Mortensen (52', 64'), Yakob (72')
Pedersen (76')
Prip (19')
Oct 18, 2021 6pm
Aarhus
1-0
AaB
Brandhof (45+6')
Dagur Thorsteinsson (4'), Poulsen (24'), Brandhof (90+4')

Ross (21'), Fredrik Granli (26'), Ferreira (76')
Aug 8, 2021 5pm
AaB
2-0
Aarhus
Fossum (32'), Ross (51')
Ahlmann (79'), Thelander (86')

Lund (5'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (11'), Poulsen (29'), Aurel Bisseck (72')
May 28, 2021 6pm
Aarhus
2-2
AaB
 Aarhus win 3-1 on penalties
Blume (20'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (120' pen.)
Olsen (88'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (104'), Poulsen (106')
Van Weert (69' pen.), Kusk (109')
Ross (41'), Pallesen (77'), Hannesbo (84'), Rinne (104'), Ferreira (107'), Samuelsen (112')
Dec 20, 2020 3pm
Aarhus
3-0
AaB
Links (16'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (26', 34')
Hojer Nielsen (31')

Thelander (23'), Ferreira (45')