Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RC Saint Joseph win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for La Roche-sur-Yon had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RC Saint Joseph win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest La Roche-sur-Yon win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RC Saint Joseph would win this match.