Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fontenay Vendée Foot win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for La Roche-sur-Yon had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fontenay Vendée Foot win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a La Roche-sur-Yon win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.