Botswana vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botswana would win this match.