SPAL logo
Coppa Italia | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Monza

SPAL
2 - 0
Monza

Paloschi (62' pen.), Brignola (75')
Espeto (29'), Okoli (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barilla (9'), Armellino (86')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Fourth Round clash between SPAL and Monza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawMonza
26.8%24.91%48.29%
Both teams to score 53.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.06%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.1%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.69%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 26.8%
    Monza 48.29%
    Draw 24.9%
SPALDrawMonza
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 8.4%
1-3 @ 5.01%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.29%

rhs 2.0


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