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SPAL logo
Coppa Italia | Fourth Round
Nov 24, 2020 at 1.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Monza

SPAL
2 - 0
Monza

Paloschi (62' pen.), Brignola (75')
Espeto (29'), Okoli (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Barilla (9'), Armellino (86')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Fourth Round clash between SPAL and Monza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawMonza
26.8%24.91%48.29%
Both teams to score 53.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02%48.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94%71.06%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.1%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68%20.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31%52.69%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 26.8%
    Monza 48.29%
    Draw 24.9%
SPALDrawMonza
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-1 @ 6.64%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 1.98%
3-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-2 @ 8.4%
1-3 @ 5.01%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.29%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
Monza
0-0
SPAL
Maric (37')
Valoti (52'), D'Alessandro (58'), Salamon (67'), Espeto (69'), Sernicola (75')
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
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7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
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12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
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18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
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