Banfield
4 - 1
Independiente

Maldonado (3'), Lollo (58'), Galoppo (70'), Sonora (85')
Enrique (55'), Lollo (56'), Coronel (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Joel Zarate Maldonado (36' og.), Zarate (36' og.)
Barreto (56'), Romero (89')
Barreto (59'), Manuel Insaurralde (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Banfield and Independiente.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.

Result
Banfield	Draw	Independiente
37.2%	28.09%	34.72%

Both teams to score 47.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.38%

58.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.83%

79.17%

Banfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7%

30.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52%

66.48%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13%

31.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.68%

68.32%

Score Analysis

Banfield 37.2%

Independiente 34.71%

Draw 28.08%

Banfield	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 7.54% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 2.87% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.71%