Arsenal
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Carabajal (69')
Carabajal (41'), Navas (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Fernandez (17')
Ortigoza (24'), Gordillo (37'), Rojas (75'), Peruzzi (76')
Rojas (90+3')

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	San Lorenzo
39.37%	27.06%	33.58%

Both teams to score 50.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16%

54.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86%

76.14%

Arsenal Sarandi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.38%

62.62%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29%

30.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.03%

66.97%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi 39.36%

San Lorenzo 33.58%

Draw 27.06%

Arsenal Sarandi	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.36%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.58%