Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona
Arsenal3 - 1Newell's OB
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Newell's Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.62%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 38.12% | 30.3% | 31.59% |
| Both teams to score 41.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
