Corinthians
4 - 0
River Plate

Ramiro (22', 59'), Jo (29'), Vital (34')
Gabriel Moura de Oliveira (90+3'), Vitinho (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Montiel (35'), Contrera (36'), Garcete (48'), Benito Bogado Gonzalez (76'), Bogado (76'), Saldivar (90+1')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Corinthians and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	River Plate
44.95%	24.73%	30.33%

Both teams to score 56.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9%

46.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6%

68.4%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.41%

20.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88%

53.12%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.49%

28.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72%

64.28%

Score Analysis

Corinthians 44.95%

River Plate 30.33%

Draw 24.73%

Corinthians	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.28% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 3.04% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.37% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.33%

Corinthians4 - 0River Plate

Data Analysis

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Corinthians
4 - 0
River Plate