Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo PerĂ³n
Racing2 - 1Cristal
Jose Caceres (13'), Chancalay (83')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
Arias (29'), Jose Caceres (31'), Alejo Lopez (39'), Chancalay (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 56.51% | 24.23% | 19.26% |
| Both teams to score 46.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.94% | 75.05% |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% | 18.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.76% | 50.24% |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.77% | 42.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Score Analysis |
Racing Club 56.51%
Sporting Cristal 19.26%
Draw 24.22%
| Racing Club | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.05% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.94% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% 1-2 @ 4.93% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
How you voted: Racing vs Cristal
Racing Club
81.8%Draw
9.1%Sporting Cristal
9.1%11


