Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal0 - 3Sao Paulo
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Sao Paulo |
| 38.35% | 24.5% | 37.15% |
| Both teams to score 59.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
