Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Leoncio de Souza Miranda

Uniao Carmolandense
4 - 2
America FC

Pereira dos Santos (42', 48'), Rosario da Costa Silva (45+1'), Vinicius Alves dos Santos (59')
de Morais (28'), (65'), Sabanov (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bueno (4'), Rodrigues dos Santos (8')
Gabriel Machado Pereira (41'), Rodrigues dos Santos (74'), Carlos Villa Flor Brito Filho (90+3')
Ferreira de Sousa (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Uniao Carmolandense and America de Natal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uniao Carmolandense

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America de Natal

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Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 America FC
Thursday, May 23 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Natal win with a probability of 60.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Uniao Carmolandense had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an America de Natal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.7%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Uniao Carmolandense win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Uniao CarmolandenseDrawAmerica de Natal
14.55% (0.748 0.75)24.69% (0.056000000000001 0.06)60.76% (-0.802 -0.8)
Both teams to score 37.45% (1.374 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.58% (0.911 0.91)61.42% (-0.909 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.69% (0.672 0.67)81.31% (-0.67 -0.67)
Uniao Carmolandense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.95% (1.693 1.69)53.05% (-1.691 -1.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.32% (1.047 1.05)86.68% (-1.045 -1.05)
America de Natal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)20.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44% (0.083999999999996 0.08)52.56% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Uniao Carmolandense 14.55%
    America de Natal 60.76%
    Draw 24.68%
Uniao CarmolandenseDrawAmerica de Natal
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.114 0.11)
2-1 @ 3.45% (0.231 0.23)
2-0 @ 2.16% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.55%
1-1 @ 10.87% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 10.73% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 2.75% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 17.15% (-0.56 -0.56)
0-2 @ 13.7% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.172 0.17)
0-3 @ 7.3% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-3 @ 4.63% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.85% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.102 0.1)
0-5 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 60.76%