Copa do Brasil
Mar 4, 2026 10.30pm
1
1
ET Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Pedro Testa 23' yellowcard
  • Rhaillam 39' goal
  • Douglas Marques dos Santos 63' yellowcard
  • Renan 69' yellowcard
  • goal Anderson Cordeiro 16'
  • yellowcard Caíque Valdivia 46'
  • yellowcard Luisinho 58'
  • yellowcard Léo Bahia 66'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Ferri 70'

Capital FC vs Manaus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Capital FC

Manaus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manaus win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.32% and a win for Capital FC had a probability of 12.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manaus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.39%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Capital FC win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Capital FC 12.61% (-0.42)
Draw 22.32% (-0.54)
Manaus 65.08% (+0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.59% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.37% (-0.80)
Under 1.5 30.63% (+0.81)
Over 2.5 43.63% (-1.10)
Under 2.5 56.37% (+1.10)
Over 3.5 23.16% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.84% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 14.81% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.19% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Capital FC 20.33% (+3.53)
Draw 45.15% (-0.95)
Manaus 34.52% (-2.59)

Team To Score First

Capital FC 30.05% (+3.50)
No Goal 9.42% (-0.50)
Manaus 60.53% (-3.00)

Corners

Over 8 43.78% (-0.51)
Equal 8 11.1% (-0.19)
Under 8 45.12% (+0.70)
Over 9 33.61% (-0.30)
Equal 9 10.17% (-0.22)
Under 9 56.22% (+0.51)
Over 10.5 24.99% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 75.01% (+0.10)

Capital FC Goals

Over 1.5 11.67% (-0.81)
Under 1.5 88.33% (+0.80)
Over 2.5 1.87% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 98.13% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.53% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 99.47% (-0.16)

Manaus Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 18.04% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 52.76% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 47.24% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 27.26% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 72.74% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 11.73% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 88.27% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Capital FC 12.61%
Draw 22.33%
Manaus 65.08%
Capital FC
1-0 @ 5.72% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.36)
2-0 @ 2.18% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.52% (+0.17)
Total : 12.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.50)
2-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.33%
Manaus
0-1 @ 15.51% (+1.24)
0-2 @ 13.39% (+0.45)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.50)
0-3 @ 8.28% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 5.13% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.35)
Other @ 11.72% (+0.21)
Total : 65.08%