Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America de Natal win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for GAS had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a America de Natal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%) , while for a GAS win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.