Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 29.55% and a win for Tirol had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%) , while for a Tirol win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.