Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Desportiva ES had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Desportiva ES win was 1-0 (10.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.