Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Catarina win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Catarina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (10.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.