Copa del Rey
Oct 27, 2026 6.45pm
Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellonense vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Castellonense

Almeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw has a probability of 23.97% and a win for Castellonense has a probability of 13.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.78%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.7%) , while for a Castellonense win it is 1-0 (6.27%).

Result

Castellonense 13.58% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 23.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Almeria 62.44% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 42.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 57.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.93% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.62% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Castellonense 14% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 43.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Almeria 42.16% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Castellonense 31.33% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
Almeria 59.39%

Corners

Over 8 41.92% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 8 11.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 46.82% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 9 31.77% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 10.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 58.08% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 10.5 23.3% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 76.7% ▼ (-0.18)

Castellonense Goals

Over 1.5 12.65% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 87.35% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 1.84% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 98.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.56% ▼ (-0.02)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 81.6% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 18.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 51.35% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 48.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 26.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 73.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 10.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.09% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Castellonense 13.59%
Draw 23.98%
Almeria 62.45%
Castellonense
1-0 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.43% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 13.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.98%
Almeria
0-1 @ 14.66%
0-2 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.98% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.9% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 62.45%