CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 1, 2026 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • T. Morton 39' yellowcard
  • Luka Chalwell 61' yellowcard
  • goal Brandon Barzey 11'
  • goal J. Mars 43' (OG)
  • yellowcard V. Roache 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Vashim Roache 90'+3'

British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

British Virgin Islands

All competitions

Montserrat

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montserrat win with a probability of 60.67%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 20.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montserrat win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-0 (4.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result

British Virgin Islands 20.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 19.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Montserrat 60.67% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.11% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 57.24% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 42.76% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 34.6% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 65.4% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 4.5 22.96% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.04% ▼ (-0.09)

First Half Winner

British Virgin Islands 14.51% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 34.46% ▼ (-0.32)
Montserrat 51.03% ▲ (+0.75)

Team To Score First

British Virgin Islands 24.37% ▼ (-0.13)
No Goal 5.6% ▼ (-0.05)
Montserrat 70.03% ▲ (+0.18)

Corners

Over 8 36.42% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 10.99% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 52.59% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 9 26.96% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 9.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 9 63.58% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 19.4% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 10.5 80.6% ▼ (-0.14)

British Virgin Islands Goals

Over 1.5 22.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Montserrat Goals

Over 0.5 82.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 17.43% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 56.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 31.68% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 68.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 15.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 84.76% ▼ (-0.09)

Score analysis

British Virgin Islands 20.31%
Draw 19.07%
Montserrat 60.66%
British Virgin Islands
1-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 20.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.07%
Montserrat
0-1 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.32% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9%
0-3 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.1% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 60.66%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mackye Townsend-West 29' yellowcard
  • Brandon Comley 39' yellowcard
  • Brandon Barzey 58' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 67' goal
  • Lyle Taylor 71' goal
  • D. Furlong 89' yellowcard
  • Darion Furlong 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard F. Beckles 15'
  • yellowcard J. Mars 38'
  • yellowcard Luka Chalwell 55'
  • yellowcard J. Lacey 89'