CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 6
Oct 7, 2026 12.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Sean Tomlinson 5' goal
  • TJ Bramble 11' goal
  • Sean Tomlinson 64' yellowcard
  • Quinton Griffith 67' yellowcard
  • Brandon Satchell 86' goal
  • goal Walter Bennett 14'
  • yellowcard Justin Peterson 21'
  • yellowcard Alljereau Mercera 44'
  • goal Carlito Fermina 50'

Antigua and Barbuda vs Aruba - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions

Aruba

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Aruba win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Antigua and Barbuda 39.39% ▼ (-0.12)
Draw 24.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Aruba 36.56% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.33% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 21.67% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 57% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 43% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 3.5 34.37% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.63% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 20.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 4.5 79.08% ▼ (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Antigua and Barbuda 35.15% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 35.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Aruba 29.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Antigua and Barbuda 51.15% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 5.98% ▼ (-0.07)
Aruba 42.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.15% ▼ (-0.49)
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 36.22% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 9 40.82% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 9 47.85% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 10.5 30.65% ▼ (-0.37)
Under 10.5 69.35% ▲ (+0.36)

Antigua and Barbuda Goals

Over 1.5 41.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 58.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 19.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 7.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.07% ▼ (-0.06)

Aruba Goals

Over 0.5 69.91% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 30.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 39.04% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 60.96% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 17.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 82.65% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.84% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Antigua and Barbuda 39.39%
Draw 24.04%
Aruba 36.55%
Antigua and Barbuda
2-1 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 39.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.69% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.04%
Aruba
1-2 @ 7.95% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.55%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bradley Martis 55' yellowcard
  • Mishawn Molina 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard TJ Bramble 49'
  • yellowcard Kylano Isaac 71'
International Friendlies
Nov 12, 2025 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT