Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Shandong Luneng Taishan had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 32.18% | 24.31% | 43.51% |
| Both teams to score 59.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% | 43.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% | 65.81% |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% | 61% |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% | 20.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.63% | 52.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% 1-0 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 4.84% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.51% |


