Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road
  • Pelly Ruddock 67' goal
  • Pelly Ruddock 70' yellowcard
  • Donervon Daniels 74' goal
  • Jayden Bogle 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 23'
  • goal Wayne Mark Rooney 63'
  • goal Chris Martin 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Hamer 88'
  • yellowcard Wayne Rooney 88'
  • redcard Max Lowe 88'
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 94'

Luton Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2020 12.00pm
Nott'm Forest 3 - 1 Luton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
James Collins

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2020 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 0 Hull City
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Martyn Waghorn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).

Result

Luton Town 39.91%
Draw 25.2%
Derby County 34.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.81%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.21%
Under 2.5 46.79%
Over 3.5 30.95%
Under 3.5 69.05%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.74%
Under 0.5 23.26%
Over 1.5 42.82%
Under 1.5 57.18%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 74.02%
Under 0.5 25.98%
Over 1.5 39%
Under 1.5 60.99%

Score analysis

Luton Town 39.91%
Draw 25.19%
Derby County 34.89%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
Derby County
0-1 @ 8.14%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.89%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matty Pearson 11' goal
  • Tom Lawrence 70' goal
  • Graeme Shinnie 76' yellowcard
Championship
Apr 20, 2007 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lewin Nyatanga 37' goal
Championship
Nov 18, 2006 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rowan Vine 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Seth Johnson 57'
  • goal Jon Stead 72'
  • goal Steve Howard 75'
Championship
Mar 18, 2006 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Robinson 12' yellowcard
  • Steve Howard 72' goal
Championship
Dec 26, 2005 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Seth Johnson 18' yellowcard
  • Inigo Idiakez 36' yellowcard
  • Inigo Idiakez 72' goal
  • yellowcard Rowan Vine 32'
  • goal Ahmet Brkovic 80'