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Championship header 2

Championship

Attendance: 10,057
Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Derby logo

LutonLuton Town
3-2
DerbyDerby County

Ruddock (67'), Daniels (74'), Bogle (86' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mark Rooney (63'), Martin (85')

The Match

Match Report

The former England captain opened his Derby account but finished on the losing side.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%).

Result
Luton TownDrawDerby County
39.91%25.2%34.89%
Both teams to score 56.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.05%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.82%57.18%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39%60.99%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 39.91%
    Derby County 34.89%
    Draw 25.19%
Luton TownDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.43%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.14%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 5.49%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.89%