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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 47.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for had a probability of 26.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a win it was 0-1 (8.59%).
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Derby County |
| 47.36% | 26.41% | 26.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% | 55.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% | 76.51% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% | 23.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% | 57.31% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.58% | 36.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.5% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 8.59% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.23% |